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Ukraine war: 'Forget a ceasefire anytime soon'

Former Finnish PM Alexander Stubb gives his analysis on the war in Ukraine.

The war in Ukraine has many fronts, including sanctions and trade conflict. Russia has now suspended natural gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria after they decided against paying in Russian roubles. Meanwhile, places like Mariupol in Ukraine continue to be sites of conflict and suffering after weeks of living under siege.

So in light of the visit of the United Nation's Secretary General António Guterres for peace talks in Moscow, is an end to the conflict likely anytime soon? Newsday asked the former prime minister of Finland, Alexander Stubb, now Professor at the European University Institute in Florence.

“We’ll see a lot of back and forth on the energy front. In the long term, [Russia] is going to be faced with two stranded assets – oil and gas – so in the long term, the big hit is going to come from Russia which is probably why it’s [at] war now.â€

“Forget a ceasefire anytime soon. I can say fairly confidently… Sweden and Finland will apply [to join, the military alliance] Nato in mid-May.â€

(Photo: People walk past a tank destroyed during Ukraine-Russia conflict in the southern port city of Mariupol. Credit: Reuters)

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4 minutes