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The mistake in Trump’s tariff formula
Also, counting bobbies, freezing tax and electrocuting redheads
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Is one in four people in the UK disabled?
Plus, what has Canada done to Donald Trump? Is Rachel Reeves chasing the model?
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Could a 2% wealth tax raise £24bn?
Plus, did trillions disappear from UK pensions? Why does the UK have a lot of old housing?
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Why are more people claiming disability benefits?
Plus, UK v Russia on free speech and the collapse of the Labour Force Survey.
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How did lockdown impact children?
Five years on, Tim Harford looks at the data on the effect of lockdown.
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DOGE, apples and irregular migrants
Fact-checking government efficiency claims in the US.
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Defence Spending, Rare Earths and Trunk Truths
The numbers behind Ukraine’s rare earth worth and the UK’s defence spending ambitions.
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Are older drivers more dangerous?
Plus, winter fuel deaths, prison sentence maths and leaves on railway tracks.
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Do US crime statistics miss out the most violent cities?
Plus: MP capital gains claims and grizzly bear berry habits.
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When are numbers like a horse at a gymkhana?
Plus: the taxes of 60 very rich people, water bill spreadsheets, and is 0 a small number?
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Should the government target persnuffle?
Plus, childhood obesity, birds hitting windows and Sir David Spiegelhalter’s origin story.
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How do you breed seventeen octillion rats?
Plus, GPs working less, the UK working less, and Wetherspoons wanting to pay less tax.
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Could the winter fuel cut cost more than it saves?
Plus, ONS transgender stats, early-onset cancer, and puzzles you’re meant to get wrong.
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How do you count millionaires?
Plus, asylum seeker costs, private school bets and Baumol's cost disease
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How long does it take to turn around an oil tanker?
Plus migrants v pensioners and Ed Miliband’s energy auction claim.
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Exclusions, black holes and dividing by zero
Plus special educational needs in Wales and Ghanian nurses in the UK.
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Election endings, tennis and meeting men in finance
The UK's money troubles, NHS managers and a 54% chance of winning a point in tennis.
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Election claims and erection claims
What did Liz Truss do to mortgage rates? Do erections use a litre of blood?
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Worse mortgages, better readers, and potholes on the moon
We check some of the numbers that are flying about in the election campaign.
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Leaflets, taxes, oil workers and classrooms
We look at bad graphs, oil rig extrapolations and pupil populations.
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Debate, Reform, tax evasion and ants
Fact-checking the leaders' debate, tax evasion savings and the weight of ants.
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UK growth, prisons and Swiftonomics
Is the UK economy growing faster than Germany, France and the US?
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MP misconduct, NHS waiting lists and gold (gold)
Will it take 685 years to clear the NHS waiting list? Are 10% of MPs under investigation?
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School spending, excess deaths and billions of animals at Heathrow
Is school funding at record levels? Did 6.5bn creatures come to the UK by plane last year?
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Per capita GDP, MP claims and the entire EU budget
What does per capita GDP tell us? How much did the EU spend on Covid recovery?
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Debt, students, shark and chips
What is the government’s rule on debt? Do 90% of chip shops sell shark and chips?
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Council tax weirdness: Hartlepool vs Westminster
Council tax comparisons, migration calculations and the carbon footprint of home-grown veg
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Measles, Traitors and the cost of Brexit
Is measles spreading? How much is Brexit costing? How good are they at traitor guessing?
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Shopping, shipping and wind chill-ing
We investigate the cost of a weekly shop and explore the workings of wind chill.
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Life expectancy, inheritance tax and the NHS vs winter
How long will we live? Who pays inheritance tax? How did the NHS perform this winter?